![]() ![]() Assuming Romney is in the lead, it will re-start a debate over whether he can legitimately downplay the Iowa caucuses - as his campaign seems set to do - and instead focus much of his time and energy on the New Hampshire primary. He spent millions in the state in 20 and, without former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, the caucus winner last time around, in the 2012 race, Romney is the best-known GOP commodity in the state. * Romney’s burden: It’s a near certainty that former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney will be at the top of the Register poll. That would keep expectations reasonable and allow him room to grow and claim genuine momentum going forward. For someone like former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty - for whom a win in the Iowa caucuses is close to a necessity - the ideal would be a competitive second or third place in this first survey. Every time the Iowa caucus race gets written about, the first Register poll will be cited and used as a way to judge whether progress is being made. * Setting the baseline: This is the poll that will be used to judge momentum (or lack thereof) in the Iowa campaign to come. eastern time on Saturday - tell us about the field? And what won’t it tell us? So, what will the first 2012 poll - due out at 10 p.m. A strong showing can help a candidate raise money and build momentum, a poor one can have the opposite effect. Ann Selzer, is widely regarded as the benchmark for where things stand in the Hawkeye State. The Register poll, conducted by the esteemed J. (And, yes, that means that the Fix officially has plans on Saturday night.) The news broke this morning: the Des Moines Register will release its first Iowa ballot test of the 2012 Republican presidential field on Saturday night. ![]()
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